Impact d’une possible libéralisation commerciale entre le Brésil, les États-Unis, l'Union Européenne et la Chine sur l'économie brésilienne : Une analyse d'équilibre général calculable
Impacts of a possible trade liberalization between Brazil, the United States, the European Union and China on the Brazilian economy: An analysis of Computable General Equilibrium
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36311/2237-7743.2020.v9n2.p254-271Keywords:
USA, European Union, China, PAEGAbstract
La présente étude a évalué les effets de la formation d'un éventuel accord de libéralisation commerciale entre le Brésil, les États-Unis, l'Union Européenne et la Chine sur le PIB, sur le bien-être et sur les échanges commerciaux des pays membres. Pour atteindre l’objectif de ce travail, l’équilibre général calculable a été utilisé comme base, modélisé par le Projet d’Analyse de l’Équilibre Général (PAEG) pour les régions brésiliennes désagrégées. Les résultats indiquent une croissance du PIB, une amélioration du bien-être, ainsi qu'une amélioration d’échanges commerciaux brésiliens, représenté par les importations et les exportations.
Abstract: The present study evaluated the effects of the formation of a possible free trade agreement between Brazil, the United States, the European Union and China in the GDP, welfare and trade of the member countries. In order to achieve the objective of this work, the computable general equilibrium was used as a basis, being modeled by General Equilibrium Analysis Project (GEAP) for the disaggregated Brazilian regions. The results show GDP growth, improved welfare, and improved Brazilian trade represented by imports and exports.
Keywords: USA, European Union, China, PAEG.
Recebido em: novembro/2019.
Aprovado em: agosto/2020.
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References
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